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4 September 2026

El Nino weather phenomenon forecast

El Nino is a recurring, high-impact climatic phenomenon explicitly covered in the geography and disaster management syllabus, with direct implications for India's monsoon, agriculture, and food security.

1 min read Day 2 of 2 2 questions 2 prelims

Notes

  • The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) forecasts that the current El Nino phenomenon will persist through February 2027 with near 100% certainty.
  • The phenomenon is driven by exceptionally warm Pacific Ocean temperatures and may become the strongest ever recorded.
  • El Nino is defined as a periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific caused by the weakening of trade winds.
  • It typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts up to 12 months.
  • El Nino impacts global climate patterns, leading to significant shifts in rainfall and temperature, including increased risks of droughts and typhoons.
  • The WMO is prioritizing early warning systems and preparedness efforts to mitigate the impact on member states.

Part of a longer story

This is day 2 of 2 in El Nino weather phenomenon development, which has been running since 25 August 2026. Reading it whole is usually worth more than reading today alone — the exam asks how something developed.

Questions

  1. Explain the mechanism of the El Nino phenomenon and discuss its implications for global climate stability and disaster management strategies. 150 words
    Attempt this — 150 words in 8 min
    0 / 150 words 8:00
  2. The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events like El Nino pose significant challenges to global food security and economic resilience. In this context, evaluate the role of international meteorological cooperation in strengthening early warning systems for developing nations. 250 words
    Attempt this — 250 words in 11 min
    0 / 250 words 11:00

Prelims

  1. Which of the following best describes the cause of the El Nino weather phenomenon?

  2. According to the WMO, what is the typical duration of an El Nino event?